Tomo Posted March 5, 2010 Share Posted March 5, 2010 So hows the weather for NATFLY looking? My Long range rain forecast doesn't look to good at all.... 75% chance over that weekend, let's hope it doesn't eventuate though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ultralights Posted March 6, 2010 Share Posted March 6, 2010 i recently rode from Syd to Phillip Island for the Superbike races, the forcast was for rain sunday and monday, and had been forecast rain for a few weeks leading up to the weekend, only on sunday morning did they change the forecast to fine and sunny for sunday and monday. which fortunatly it was. even on the previous evening, the forcast was totally wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
markendee Posted March 6, 2010 Share Posted March 6, 2010 Tomo, The long range forecast is as accurate as a two bob watch. If they cannot tell you what is going to happen tomorrow what are the odds of getting it right a month out? Stay positive! Mark D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomo Posted March 6, 2010 Author Share Posted March 6, 2010 Yes, sorry if I'm coming across negative... :ah_oh: I realize they're not worth much... but, yeah It should be Ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerin Posted March 6, 2010 Share Posted March 6, 2010 Yeh...I wouldn't worry too much yet Tomo. Forecasts a month out are at best a rough guide. Historically our weather here in Southern NSW is very stable in early Autumn and it is our lowest average rainfall period for the year. Having said that...this seems to be shaping up to be a drought-breaking rainfall year here, and the 28 day forecast does have a high probability of rain for 2-3 April. So anything could happen! Which long term forecast were you looking at Tomo? Peter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomo Posted March 6, 2010 Author Share Posted March 6, 2010 Which long term forecast were you looking at Tomo? This one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Decca Posted March 6, 2010 Share Posted March 6, 2010 Thanks Tomo. It is the one I access, as a guide, & generally reasonable. I find it amusing though when they forecast chance of rain; 80% possibility of less than 1mm.. As happened last week. Decca. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerin Posted March 6, 2010 Share Posted March 6, 2010 That's the one I used too Tomo....only on Weatherzone (which is where where Elders get their data from). And yes Decca, the probabilities are a bit of a joke sometimes...computer generated of course. :pc strikes back: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Posted March 7, 2010 Share Posted March 7, 2010 So hows the weather for NATFLY looking?My Long range rain forecast doesn't look to good at all.... 75% chance over that weekend, let's hope it doesn't eventuate though... It could always be worse, Tomo. It could have been this weekend. The paddocks are awash here. I use the Weatherzone predictions too, but these 28 day forecasts are based on the long wave patterns that can move earlier or later as they come across the Indian Ocean. Don't give up yet, although you have a reason for concern after what you guys copped up there recently. We all need to do more AvGas burning to counter this trend to Global-Raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
markendee Posted March 7, 2010 Share Posted March 7, 2010 Question for Tomo Tomo, Q:What do little boys who tell lies grow up to be? A:Weather forecasters. Mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigPete Posted March 7, 2010 Share Posted March 7, 2010 , and I thought it was politicians. :hittinghead: regards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
markendee Posted March 7, 2010 Share Posted March 7, 2010 Large Pedro, That is little boys and girls! Mark D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomo Posted March 7, 2010 Author Share Posted March 7, 2010 Tomo,Q:What do little boys who tell lies grow up to be? A:Weather forecasters. Yeah, there once was a kid telling his Dad that he want's to be a fiction story writer. His Dad said, "So you'll be writing weather reports then?" But you could take this both ways.... :black_eye: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Posted March 18, 2010 Share Posted March 18, 2010 Tomo It is looking a bit better .... see Southwest Slopes 28-day Rainfall Forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomo Posted March 18, 2010 Author Share Posted March 18, 2010 Certainly is Cap, was looking at it this afternoon as well! :thumb_up: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ultralights Posted March 19, 2010 Share Posted March 19, 2010 now that the weather looks good for Natfly, might need the wet weather gear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomo Posted March 19, 2010 Author Share Posted March 19, 2010 now that the weather looks good for Natfly, might need the wet weather gear :rolleyes1: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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