The crash analysis was based on a flight from Merimbula toBathurst viaWollongong in October 1999.
Essentially the weather developed into a situation over the ranges where it was rain and storm cells, but the cells were masked by therain clouds that had dramatically developed unknown to him while airborne.
Mix this with a low cloud base and RISING terrain, with the cloud on the ground at the impact location near Oberon.
Not so much a controlled flight into terrain, but the indicators were the plane impacted with the ground at a high speed and unusual attitude.
The analysis revealed Spacial Disorientation was what caused the pilot to fly the plane into the ground. he did not know which way was up - and yes, he was an experienced VFR pilot and had three hours of instrument skills.
The seminar concluded that IF he had asked for a hand earlier on, and made a diversion then he would be able to be at the seminar talking about the incident, rather than having his demise talked about.
The guy from ATC said he would rather have a pilot ASK for help, than spend time activating a search. And yes, he also said no pilot (RA or GA)would get into trouble from CASA/ ATC / ATSB for asking for a hand on the area frequency.
If the area frequency is busy, then they will ask you to change frequencies and then they will talk you through the issue to get back into VMC.
The other fact they highlighted was most incidents occur after halfway in the trip, with the prevailing attitude of "oh, its not far, lets press on" being the common factor.
He played a recording of one pilot asking for help. The chilling words in this real incident where when the ATC asked what his attitude was;
"Im upside down"
As they said, 70% of pilots who press on will die in the next three minutes.
Ben