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aro

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Everything posted by aro

  1. No. It only means that preserving is considered too much trouble for less then 30 days, not that flying every 30 days avoids the problems prevented by preserving. That is under the heading "ACTIVE ENGINES". Your logic is circular. It's only ACTIVE because you flew it instead of preserving it. If you're worried about your engine in lockdown, preserve it. That work is clearly on the authorised list.
  2. Neither ascribe any benefit to flying every 30 days. They recommend preservation if the engine will be inactive for more than 30 days. Flying every 30 days is probably the worst case scenario - often enough to produce water and acid combustion byproducts, not often enough to give the benefit of frequent flying, and the engine is not inhibited.
  3. "Monthly servicing is a requirement for the safety of light aircraft" Do you have a reference for that? I know many aircraft that are not serviced monthly. Has someone been telling porkies to the department? In any case it says servicing is authorized, not flying.
  4. That is what would be considered permission. No-one is saying you can't land on private property. Just that if someone says Prior Permission Required, you need to ask for permission. It doesn't matter whether you would give or require permission on your own land. It doesn't seem like a difficult concept.
  5. Incredible to see the flexibility of political views here. Pilots tend to be right-leaning, in favor of lower taxation, "freedom", capitalism etc. Until you talk about places to take off and land from. Then they are taken over by socialist/communist tendencies: society should provide airports, landing fees are outrageous, the taxpayer should pay for it all, and the whole concept of private property should be abolished.
  6. That doesn't take away the requirement to have the permission of the landowner. It just means you are not breaking aviation regulations.
  7. Vaccinated people are less likely to be infected, less likely to pass it on, less likely to end up in hospital, less likely to die. Same logic: What is the point of changing my oil, if engines can still fail? In fact, statistics show that most engines that fail had had their oil changed.
  8. True... but for other diseases we get to 95% so we can expect to go a lot further yet. The important number is the percentage of people unvaccinated, so the gains go up quickly as more people are vaccinated. Going from 70 to 85 percent vaccination halves the number of unvaccinated people, from 30% to 15%. That is a big difference. From 85% to 95% would cut the number again by 2/3, to 1/6 of the 70% rate.
  9. The FOI emails stuff that have been revealed in the last few days have been damning. The government delayed meeting with Pfizer for months while Victoria was in lockdown. Morrison is calling the people saying that they should have met with them "hindsight hereos" but seriously, how hard is it to figure out that it would be a good idea to stay up to date with information from the vaccine manufacturers in the middle of a global pandemic?
  10. That's what happens when you vaccinate the most at risk people first. The vaccines are not a guarantee, they just make it far less likely you will die. Last year Vic peaked at 700 cases/day. Deaths were averaging about 20/day. NSW now has far more cases, with a sustained rate of over 1400 cases/day yet the number of deaths is far lower. That is the effect of vaccinations, particularly in the vulnerable populations (elderly etc.)
  11. Only 1 reason for that: not enough people vaccinated in Australia. And 2 things are holding back vaccination: 1) People avoiding or delaying vaccination 2) The federal government delayed ordering Pfizer vaccines and didn't order enough. We are probably 6-8 months behind other countries as a result.
  12. Sorry to disappoint the people on this site, but I don't see that at all.
  13. Do you think there might be a link between people with this attitude, and the thousands of pilots not flying because interstate travel between Melbourne/Sydney/other states is shut down? Or the pilots employed in the tourist industry that is shut down? Did pilots have it better earlier this year when things were open, or now? Maybe you need to think about who you are talking to when you say you don't give a f* about other people.
  14. Do you think so? What training do pilots get in critical thinking? I would have said pilots are trained NOT to think. To follow procedures without question, and question those who don't follow procedures. It makes for safer aviation (when you think, sometimes you get things wrong, which can be fatal in aviation) but it doesn't result in a high level of critical thinking. The exception seems to be e.g. test pilots, who are trained to analyze situations, and pilots with outside interests that broaden their thinking.
  15. It's rubbish because it assumes vaccines work 100%, and there is no penalty as a society when someone gets sick. Vaccines have benefits at an individual and at a population level. At an individual level: - They provide 90+% protection against severe disease and death At a population level - If enough people are vaccinated they reduce the probability of infection across the whole population. This means less infection overall, and less likelihood of new variants which might be more transmissible or vaccine resistant. - Vaccines are not equally good for everyone. Many people are immune deficient for one reason or another (disease, or even just getting old) so rely on other people getting vaccinated so they are less likely to be infected. Many of these people have been living almost as hermits for 20 months now, they know if they catch this disease they are likely to die. If too many people do not get vaccinated: - More people get infected, which means new variants which might evade the vaccination are more likely. - More people get seriously ill, which puts more strain on the health care workers. In NSW government predictions are that the health care system will be overwhelmed in October. - COVID patients in ICU take places needed for other people. Heart attacks, strokes, accidents, cancer - all need ICU places that will be occupied by COVID patients. I know a guy who ended up in ICU last year and almost died after a dental procedure. If the places were occupied by COVID patients maybe he would be dead. So you can claim that not being vaccinated only affects yourself, but that is rubbish.
  16. How would you know?
  17. I'm double vaccinated so not too worried about myself. It's not fear, it's consideration for other people in society who will be affected: doctors and nurses who will be slammed by the case load, many ending up with PTSD children who can't get vaccinated yet people who need the ICU in normal times - heart attacks, stroke, cancer patients, accident victims, surgery patients These are the reasons I do whatever I can to avoid being part of the spread. Maybe you don't give a f* about any of these people, but that's not bravery, and doing what you can to help the situation is not fear.
  18. Don't worry, I have read plenty of studies. But what is also useful is hearing interpretations by experts, I recommend: Andy Slavitt - Former Biden White House Sr Advisor for COVID Response Dena Grayson - Ebola expert, has been commenting on COVID since the beginning. Said that COVID was scarier than Ebola back before we had even heard of it, which proved prescient to say the least. Peter Doherty - Australian Nobel Prize winning Immunologist Peter Collignon - Infectious Diseases Physician at the ANU. Often wrong in his opinions (seems a little too keen to have more cases), but posts useful links. You can hear from them all directly on Twitter. Very up to date information, and reliable sources.
  19. In which case you will have no problem getting permission. But PPR means you must get permission. Maybe the strip is soft and unserviceable, maybe it has a fence across it at the moment, maybe there are agreements with the neighbors about the type of aircraft that will use it, maybe visitors are just not welcome today. Talk to a few people with private strips. You will hear of people annoying the neighbors by making multiple low passes practicing a precautionary search, people landing on soft grass strips and making enormous furrows or tearing up newly seeded crops or grass - enough to understand why people make their strip PPR, or more commonly refuse to mark the strip at all.
  20. It's important to note that the study is on effectiveness against symptomatic disease. The vaccines are much better at protecting against severe disease and death.
  21. Why do pilots get so upset over the concept that you can't land on private property without permission? Is this an attitude that appears when you get your license, or is it the type of people who are drawn to flying?
  22. You sure did! A search turns up that document on various anti-vax websites. At best it seems to be quoting from very early studies on the vaccine, before the large scale trials. You can look at the vaxed vs unvaxed results in many different countries to see that the vaccines make an amazing difference. Even in Australia, you can compare NSW this year to Victoria last year. Last year we had hundreds of elderly people dying. This year, most elderly are vaccinated and the number of deaths is greatly reduced compared to last year. A larger percentage of people being hospitalized and dying are young, simply because the vaccinated elderly are not. The vaccination seems to reduce your risk approximately equivalent to being 30 years younger, i.e. a vaccinated 80 year old has about the same risk as an unvaccinated 50 year old, a vaccinated 50 year old has about the same risk as an unvaccinated 20 year old. The risk goes up very steeply with age. If you are older and unvaccinated you are still at great risk - probably greater than ever due to the infectiousness of Delta.
  23. If it's an emergency you can land wherever you need to, including Sydney Airport. If it's the type of emergency where you wouldn't land at Sydney if that was the closest airport, maybe it's not really an emergency?
  24. 2 & 3 are the hardest. Maybe you live without contact with other people (no shops, doctor visits, deliveries etc.) although I doubt it. We have seen all through the pandemic, it is the people you don't expect to have the disease that spread it. It spreads more easily than the common cold. If you have ever had a cold, you can expect to catch COVID-19. I have been working pretty hard on 2 and 3 since March 2020. I still managed to catch a cold last year (and had the COVID test). No idea who I got it from. But it proves that despite my vigilance, I could have caught COVID. In contrast, vaccines are easy.
  25. What does personal responsibility look like: Get vaccinated as soon as a vaccine is available to you Don't catch the disease If you catch it, don't spread it 2 and 3 means stay home and don't have contact with people outside your household. If contact is unavoidable e.g. shopping, wear a mask, properly - well fitting and covering from above your nose to below your chin. If all that sounds too hard, maybe we need to do more at the collective level. That was the point of getting to zero - we can all get away with not doing these things if there is no COVID circulating.
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