For a start we have to stop using the word "accident" There are no "accidents" .........Only incidents with negative outcomes..Accident implies that no-one is, or can be help responsible........ Someone is always at fault.....Somewhere , Somehow. A regulation has been ignored or taken too lightly or someone is just being stupid, flying too low, in cloud, poor weather check, insufficient fuel, badly maintained aircraft, there is a cause somewhere. And as long as your arse points downwards somebody will be taking extra risks. Occasionally that type of person will get caught out and pay the price. I admit it's a lot to pay for a "bit of a lark "................... a little disobedience goes a long way and echoes for a long time. So stop expecting nil fatalities, not going to happen....